Service Plays Monday 08/17/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

MONDAY, AUGUST 17

NFL PRESEASON


Jacksonville at Miami

The Dolphins and Jaguars meet in August for the seventh consecutive year, this time in the preseason opener for both squads at Landshark Stadium.

Jacksonville coach Jack Del Rio said No. 1 quarterback David Garrard will play the first quarter and “maybe a little more.” He added that the other two QBs on the roster – second-stringer Todd Bouman and rookie Paul Smith – will also see action.

Tony Sparano, entering his second season as Miami’s coach, said veteran Chad Pennington will start under center tonight with second-year pro Chad Henne slated to play the middle two quarters. Rookie Pat White will take over after Henne departs.

The Jags went 3-1 SU in the preseason for the fourth straight year in 2008 and the fifth time in Del Rio’s six years with the team. Jacksonville split its four preseason contests against the number in 2008, but is still 8-4 ATS over the past three summers, including 5-1 SU and ATS on the road. Also, the Jags have been a profitable preseason pup since 2002, going 9-3 ATS.

Like the Jags, Miami won three of its four exhibition contests a year ago (3-1 ATS) and has split its two preseason home games each of the last six years (5-8-1 ATS). The Dolphins are just 2-4-1 ATS in their last seven as a preseason chalk.

Jacksonville is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in its last four preseason openers, the only loss being an 18-17 setback at Miami as a 1½-point road favorite in 2007. Meanwhile, that was the Dolphins’ only Week 1 victory over the past four summers (1-2-1 ATS). Miami also defeated Jacksonville 19-14 as a 3½-point road underdog last year and is 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four August meetings with the Jags.

Miami has stayed under the total in five straight preseason games, including all four last year. Conversely, the Jags have topped the total in 11 of 16 preseason games since 2005.

ATS ADVANTAGE: JACKSONVILLE


Carolina at N.Y. Giants

The Panthers look to open the preseason with a victory for the ninth straight year when they head to the Meadowlands to battle the Giants.

Carolina coach John Fox said QB Jake Delhomme and the rest of his starters will play “about a quarter.” Josh McCown will replace Delhomme, followed by third-stringer Matt Moore and possibly Hunter Cantwell.

New York coach Tom Coughlin said he expects his starters, including QB Eli Manning to be on the field for 12 to 15 plays, perhaps even the entire first quarter. Coughlin added that he hopes his other three QBs see action, but expect at least David Carr and second-year pro Andre Woodson to get work, with Rhett Bomar being fourth off the bench if time permits.

The Panthers are 17-7 in preseason action since 2003 (14-10 ATS) and a perfect 8-0 SU in exhibition openers going back to 2001 (5-2-1 ATS). On the downside, Carolina dropped both of its preseason roadies last year (1-1 ATS), and they’re 3-5 ATS on the highway the last three summers.

The Giants, like Carolina, split their four exhibition games last year (2-1-1 ATS), but they went 2-0 SU and ATS in the Meadowlands. In fact, New York is 6-2 SU and ATS in designated preseason home games since Coughlin took over in 2004, and it has also cashed in five straight August games as a favorite. However, the Giants have dropped consecutive preseason openers, including a 24-21 loss to the Panthers as a one-point home favorite in 2007.

The under is 8-4 in New York’s last 12 summer affairs.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CAROLINA and UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (67-52) at L.A. Dodgers (70-48)

The red-hot Cardinals open a seven-game road trip by sending ace Chris Carpenter (12-3, 2.27 ERA) to the hill in Los Angeles against the Dodgers’ Charlie Haeger (0-0, 0.00 ERA), who will be making just the second start of his career.

St. Louis, currently atop the N.L. Central by 4½ games, has won eight of its last nine and wrapped up a 5-1 homestand with Sunday’s 7-5, walk-off win over the Padres. The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 13 series openers, seven of eight against the N.L. West, four of five on the road and six of seven when a right-handed starter is on the mound.

The struggling Dodgers have seen their lead in the N.L. West close to five games over the Rockies as they have dropped six of nine overall. They did beat the Diamondbacks 9-3 on Sunday to finish a six-game road trip at 3-3. Los Angeles is also on slides of 2-5 against the N.L. Central and 1-4 at home.

The Redbirds are on a 37-17 roll against Los Angeles, including taking eight of the last 11 meetings at Dodger Stadium.

Carpenter has been outstanding lately for the Cardinals, winning seven straight decisions and going seven or more innings in six straight starts. On Wednesday at home, he held the Reds to two runs in seven innings of a 5-2 victory. Carpenter has won three of his last four road starts where he’s 5-2 with a 2.69 ERA for the season. He is also 4-0 with a 2.18 ERA in five career starts against the Dodgers, including a seven-inning effort on July 27 when he allowed just one run in seven innings of a 6-1 victory.

Haeger started 22 games for Triple-A Albuquerque earlier this season, but this is just his second in the major leagues, with his first coming in 2006 as a member of the White Sox. The last time he pitched in the majors was in 2008 with the Padres when he appeared in four games and allowed 10 runs on eight hits in 4 1/3 innings of relief work.

St. Louis is on several “under” runs, including 7-3 in series openers, 9-3 on Mondays, 8-4 against the N.L. West and 5-3-2 against right-handed starters. Los Angeles has topped the total in nine of its last 13 at home and four of five at home against winning teams. Finally, the “under” is on a 4-1 run in this series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
60-31 run on Bonus Plays,7-2 last 9

Monday Texas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Royals Sunday.

Today it's the Braves. The surplus is 1,000 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 17, 2009

Hondo, fresh off a Saturday sweep, stormed right back yesterday with three more conquests, scoring with the Angels, Rangers and Phillies to reduce the debt to 270 deans.

Tonight, he'll lay the lumber with Carpenter -- 10 units on the Cards to nail down a win in L.A.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR MONDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Arizona (Scherzer)

ATLANTA (HANSON) -160 (1)


Kansas City (Bannister)

WHITE SOX (BUEHRLE) -240 (2)


Minnesota (Liriano)

TEXAS (HUNTER) -135 (3)


Run Totals

Arizona / Atlanta UNDER 8

St. Louis / Dodgers UNDER 7 ½

Kansas City / White Sox UNDER 9

 

[polishrebel]

Gold Medal Club 24k (0-0) 18 K (1-2) 14K (1-1)

279 Jacksonville@ 280 Miami 7:30 pm
PLAY ON 279 Jacksonville ML 18 K

281 Carolina @ 282 NY.Giants 8:00 pm
PLAY OVER 32.5 18K

 

[mayday]

Wunderdog NFL

Game: Jacksonville at Miami (Monday 8/17 7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Jacksonville +3 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

One of the most successful coaches in terms of playing to win in the NFL-X has been Jacksonville's Jack Del Rio. Del Rio has posted a 17-7 mark over the last six preseasons, and has not had a losing year with five of the six seasons finishing at 3-1! This year he has no reason to change that. In fact, his job is on the line this year so if anything, there's more reason for him to put a gloss on things. Tony Sparano lost his opener a year ago then won the next three. But he may have a different agenda this season as he needed to instill a winning culture at Miami in his initial season at the helm. The Dolphins are off an 11-5 season, and this one will be used to do more evaluating than winning. Getting a field goal on a strong preseason coach like Del Rio is a gift. I'll go with Jacksonville here.

Paid and confirmed!

GL!

 

[Yanks]

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

Cubs
Orioles
SF Giants

 

[Yanks]

Cappers Access

Dolphins
Panthers
Braves(RL)

 

[Yanks]

Super Sports Group (SSG)

Brewers v. Pirates

PICK: OVER 9 -115 (7*)

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Monday

Sunday Recap -We're working our way towards where we need to be. The Dodgers
did what we thought they would and brought Y.Petit into reality.

Todays Play(s) - Today I'm going right back against the D'backs. The Braves
had a very disappointing loss last night and look to Hanson, thier best pitcher to
right the ship in a game that they need. Every game is critical for them as they
attempt to chase down the Phillies.

MLB - Atlanta Braves -170[LISTED] Scherzer / Hanson 850.00 / 500.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Record (34-21) +$3,309

 

[steelers7]

Fazzini

Monday's play 10 Dime -- BRAVES (Hanson) -1 1/2 runs over Diamondbacks (Scherzer)

BRAVES
NOTE: List only Hanson as Atlanta's starting pitcher

Atlanta had won five straight before falling 4-1 to Philadelphia on Sunday night, and has been playing extremely well since the All-Star break. While Arizona has been playing good ball lately also, the Braves catch the Diamondbacks at a good time today.

Arizona had to travel to Atlanta from Los Angeles, where they played a weekend series against the Dodgers, and then has to travel to Philadelphia after today's game, which is being played due to a May 17 rainout.

I don't expect the Diamondbacks to be sharp in their one-game layover, especially facing Braves rookie Tommy Hanson (7-2, 3.05 ERA), who has posted a 2.53 ERA in his last 11 starts.

The 22-year-old right-hander allowed one run and seven hits with nine strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings Tuesday against Washington, and is 4-1 in six home starts. He has allowed no more than two earned runs in three of his past four outings.

The Diamondbacks will start Max Scherzer (7-6, 3.94), who bounced back from two poor outings to beat the Mets in his last game Tuesday, allowing two runs and eight hits with eight strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings.

Scherzer is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA in four games (two starts) against Atlanta. He allowed eight runs and 10 hits in 3 2/3 innings on May 31 in his last outing vs. the Braves.

Atlanta again will be without center fielder and leadoff man Nate McLouth, who is nursing a sore left hamstring, but that shouldn't keep the Braves from jumping all over the Diamondbacks today. Take Atlanta on the run line.

 

[jnc750]

Monday's Card
10 Dime Panthers

A REDD's play

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

Monday Card
NFL
3* Over 31.5 (-110) Jacksonville vs Miami

MLB
3* Over 10 (-120) LA Angels (Santana) vs Baltimore (Hernandez)

 

[Yanks]

C-Stars Sports

1000 Units LA Angles over Baltimore

 

[Yanks]

Triple Threat Sports

Chicago Cubs at San Diego

Play: Chicago Cubs

Travel would seem to point towards the home team, but in reality both of these clubs had rather long trips to get here, and since their game was rained out early and the Padres played late (also du to rain) it is likely that the Cubs were there earlier than the Padres, so actually Chicago in a better travel spot here. Also, Cubbies have gone 11-2 in their last 13 games against losing teams while the Friars are 3-12 in thier last 15 against teams with winning records, and that includes last night's heartbreaking loss. Take the Fuzzies here.

 

[brewerfan003]

PowerPlay Wins

Panthers/Giants under 32.5
Rangers -131

 

[brewerfan003]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

50* Play Atlanta (-160) over Arizona (MLB PLAY)

Tommy Hanson has won 4 of the last 5 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has also won 5 of the last 6 home games. Tommy Hanson has won 4 of the last 5 day games and he has also won 2 consecutive home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.


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50* Play St. Louis (-155) over LA Dodgers (MLB PLAY)

Chris Carpenter has won 9 of the last 10 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has also won 7 of the last 8 games when playing in the 2^nd half of the season. Chris Carpenter is 4-0 vs. Los Angeles over his career with an ERA of 2.18 and he is also 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.62.

 

[Yanks]

Lance's Lock

Overall record: 828-716-31

Current streak: 2 wins

Todays play: Pitt/Mil over 9